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中华老年病研究电子杂志 ›› 2026, Vol. 13 ›› Issue (03) : 38 -43. doi: 10.3877/cma.j.issn.2095-8757.2026.03.005

临床研究

基于慢性病一体化门诊的慢病管理指数与社区老年慢性病患者衰弱的关联研究
徐静1, 陈光辉1, 孟冉2,†()   
  1. 1311121 杭州市余杭区良渚街道社区卫生服务中心内科
    2310013 杭州,解放军联勤保障部队第903医院老年病诊治中心
  • 收稿日期:2026-05-21 出版日期:2026-08-28
  • 通信作者: 孟冉
  • 基金资助:
    杭州市医药卫生科技项目(B20240112)

Association between the chronic disease management index based on integrated chronic disease clinics and frailty in community-dwelling older patients with chronic diseases

Jing Xu1, Guanghui Chen1, Ran Meng2,†()   

  1. 1Department of Internal Medicine, Liangzhu Street Community Health Service Center, Hangzhou 311121, China
    2Geriatric Disease Diagnosis and Treatment Center, the 903rd Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, Hangzhou 310013, China
  • Received:2026-05-21 Published:2026-08-28
  • Corresponding author: Ran Meng
引用本文:

徐静, 陈光辉, 孟冉. 基于慢性病一体化门诊的慢病管理指数与社区老年慢性病患者衰弱的关联研究[J/OL]. 中华老年病研究电子杂志, 2026, 13(03): 38-43.

Jing Xu, Guanghui Chen, Ran Meng. Association between the chronic disease management index based on integrated chronic disease clinics and frailty in community-dwelling older patients with chronic diseases[J/OL]. Chinese Journal of Geriatrics Research(Electronic Edition), 2026, 13(03): 38-43.

目的

探讨慢性病一体化门诊的慢病管理指数与老年衰弱的关联,旨在为基层开展老年衰弱早期防控提供依据。

方法

以便利抽样法选取2025年6—12月纳入杭州市良渚街道慢性病一体化门诊管理的社区老年慢性病患者作为研究对象。采用现场调查法获取患者一般资料,Tilburg衰弱评估量表评估患者衰弱状态,同时提取患者的慢病管理指数。将单因素分析(Mann-Whitney U检验、χ2检验、Fisher确切概率法)有统计学意义的衰弱相关指标纳入多因素Logistic回归模型进一步分析。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析慢病管理指数对社区老年慢性病患者衰弱的诊断效能。

结果

共入组社区老年慢性病患者161例,其中衰弱患者45例(衰弱组),非衰弱患者116例(非衰弱组)。两组患者性别、年龄、每周锻炼频次、慢性病种类、服药种类及慢病管理指数的差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05或0.01)。Logistic回归分析显示,调整性别、年龄、每周锻炼频次、慢病种类及服药种类后,慢病管理指数仍与衰弱存在负向关联(OR=0.845,95%CI:0.742~0.940,P<0.01)。ROC曲线分析显示,慢病管理指数区分衰弱与非衰弱的曲线下面积为0.759(95%CI:0.680~0.839),最佳截断值为81.25分,敏感度为84.4%,特异性为59.5%。

结论

慢病管理指数与社区老年慢性病患者衰弱存在显著负向关联,基层医疗机构应重点关注慢病管理指数偏低的老年慢性病患者,及时开展衰弱专项评估与综合干预,以延缓其衰弱进程。

Objective

To explore the association between the chronic disease management index based on integrated chronic disease clinics and frailty in community-dwelling older patients with chronic diseases, so as to provide evidence for early prevention and control of frailty at primary healthcare institutions.

Methods

A convenience sampling method was used to recruit community-dwelling older patients with chronic diseases who were enrolled in the integrated chronic disease outpatient management program in Liangzhu Subdistrict, Hangzhou, from June to December 2025. A field survey was used to collect the patients’ general information, the Tilburg Frailty Indicator was used to assess their frailty status, and the patients’ chronic disease management index was extracted at the same time. Frailty-related indicators that were statistically significant in univariate analysis (Mann-Whitney U test, chi-square test, and Fisher's exact test) were included in a multivariable logistic regression model for further analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to analyze the diagnostic performance of the chronic disease management index for frailty in community-dwelling older patients with chronic diseases.

Results

A total of 161 community-dwelling older patients with chronic diseases were enrolled, including 45 frail patients (frailty group) and 116 non-frail patients (non-frailty group). There were statistically significant differences between the two groups in sex, age, weekly exercise frequency, types of chronic diseases, types of medications, and the chronic disease management index (P < 0.05 or P < 0.01). Logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for sex, age, weekly exercise frequency, types of chronic diseases, and types of medications, the chronic disease management index remained negatively associated with frailty (OR=0.845, 95%CI: 0.742-0.940, P < 0.01). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve for the chronic disease management index in distinguishing frailty from non-frailty was 0.759 (95%CI: 0.680-0.839), with an optimal cutoff value of 81.25 points, a sensitivity of 84.4%, and a specificity of 59.5%.

Conclusion

The chronic disease management index is significantly negatively associated with frailty in community-dwelling older patients with chronic diseases. Primary healthcare institutions should pay close attention to older patients with chronic diseases who have low chronic disease management index scores, promptly conduct specialized frailty assessment and comprehensive intervention, and thereby delaying the progression of frailty.

表1 衰弱与非衰弱老年慢性病患者基线资料的比较
表2 社区老年慢性病患者衰弱的多因素Logistic回归分析
项目 β SE Wald χ2 OR(95%CI) P值
模型1
常量 -4.896 1.077 20.681 - <0.01
性别(女/男) 1.492 0.572 6.798 4.447(1.441~16.140) <0.01
年龄(70~79岁/60~69岁) 3.216 0.805 15.953 24.918(5.520~178.123) <0.01
年龄(≥80岁/60~69岁) 5.187 0.994 27.234 178.869(27.983~2035.568) <0.01
每周锻炼频次(2~3次/≤1次) -1.394 0.709 3.870 0.248(0.052~1.005) >0.05
每周锻炼频次(≥4次/≤1次) -2.711 0.654 17.173 0.066(0.015~0.232) <0.01
慢性病种类(2种/1种) 0.996 0.830 1.44 2.707(0.524~17.863) >0.05
慢性病种类(3种/1种) 1.460 0.953 2.348 4.306(0.641~37.004) >0.05
慢性病种类(≥4种/1种) 1.894 1.215 2.428 6.644(0.567~93.980) >0.05
服药种类(≥5种/1种) 2.723 0.886 9.440 15.228(2.649~108.451) <0.01
模型2
常量 -4.663 1.112 4.170 - <0.01
性别(女/男) 1.468 0.629 5.452 4.339(1.240~18.994) <0.05
年龄(70~79岁/60~69岁) 3.429 0.862 15.823 30.837(6.005~258.259) <0.01
年龄(≥80岁/60~69岁) 5.197 1.070 23.590 180.696(23.895~2692.187) <0.01
每周锻炼频次(2~3次/≤1次) -1.537 0.767 4.015 0.215(0.037~0.984) <0.05
每周锻炼频次(≥4次/≤1次) -2.806 0.731 14.737 0.060(0.011~0.248) <0.01
慢性病种类(2种/1种) 0.124 0.936 0.017 1.132(0.157~9.635) >0.05
慢性病种类(3种/1种) 1.045 1.031 1.027 2.842(0.328~31.190) >0.05
慢性病种类(≥4种/1种) 2.361 1.270 3.458 10.601(0.791~187.741) >0.05
服药种类(≥5种/1种) 2.568 0.914 7.897 13.045(2.128~103.875) <0.01
慢病管理指数每增加1分 -0.169 0.054 9.689 0.845(0.742~0.940) <0.01
图1 慢病管理指数预测社区老年慢性病患者衰弱的ROC曲线
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